U.S. Trade Flows
Crude Oil and Product Mix
Crude oil dominates U.S. imports
just as it dominates world trade and for much the same reasons. Therefore,
all of the U.S.
leading suppliers are major crude producers. Imports of crude oil, having
grown to replace declining domestic production and to meet growing demand, now
account for around 80 percent of the total. Product import volumes have
stayed relatively stable.
In spite of the seeming stability in product imports, there have been
significant structural shifts over the last couple of decades in the mix of
products that the United States imports.
Residual fuel oil, for instance, formerly accounted for the majority of all
product imports, but its share has shriveled into insignificance as utilities
and industrial users have switched to other fuels, particularly nuclear and
natural gas. In its place, the United States now imports a much
higher proportion of petroleum products that are reprocessed or blended by the
oil industry, such as the unfinished gasoline and gasoline blending components
that are central to reformulated gasoline supply.
Canada
is the one country that delivers oil to the United States
by pipeline. Only its relatively new offshore Eastern Canadian production, from
fields like Hibernia, depends on tankers.
The vast majority of Canada’s crudes are landlocked and rely almost exclusively
on trunk-lines from Western Canada that tie into the U.S. transcontinental
network to reach their main export markets, which lie all across the Northern
Tier of the United States. As domestic production has declined, these
Canadian crudes have had a greater reach into the United States.
U.S.
Exports
Since the United States is the world’s largest
importer, it may seem surprising that it also exports around 1 million barrels a
day of oil, predominantly petroleum products. Due to various logistical,
regulatory, and quality considerations, it turns out that exporting some barrels
and replacing them with additional imports is the most economic way to meet the
market’s needs. For example, the Gulf
Coast may export lower quality gasoline
to Latin America while the East Coast imports higher quality gasolines from
Europe
U.S. Regional
Trade
There are significant differences between different parts of the
United States in terms of their involvement in
and dependence on international trade. Most of these differences are the
direct result of the uneven distribution of both production and refining across
the United States.
The East Coast imports over half of all the products that come to the United States, because it is the largest
consuming area in the United
States but, for historical reasons, it has only
enough capacity to meet around 1/3 of those needs from its own refining.
It fills the product gap with supplies from other parts of the United States, particularly the Gulf
Coast, and with imports. Its limited volume of
refining capacity also keeps it a distant third as a crude importer.
However, because its local production is so insignificant, its crude import
dependency is the highest of all, at almost 100 percent.
The only other region that imports significant amounts of products is
the Gulf Coast.
Its focus is not, like the East Coast's, on products that can be supplied
directly to the consumer, but on refinery feedstocks and blendstocks, to support
its role as the main U.S.
refining and petrochemical center. That role, plus the need for all the
Midwest’s non-Canadian crude imports to move through the
Gulf
Coast’s ports and pipelines too, has
also led to the Gulf Coast being by far the most important crude oil
importing region in the
United States, accounting for nearly two-thirds
of the total.
The trade among regions of the United States
is focused on the eastern half of the country. The Midwest and East Coast
account for 90 percent of the inter-regional flow, the flow between Petroleum
Administration for Defense Districts. The Gulf Coast is by far the largest
supplier, accounting for more than 80% of the inter-PADD flow. In
contrast, the Rockies and the West Coast are isolated, in petroleum logistics
terms, from the rest of the country. The easy flow of petroleum from the
Gulf Coast to the Midwest and the East Coast mean that incremental supply is
more readily available to those markets in the event of a demand surge or supply
drop. In contrast, the West Coast, and the California market in
particular, cannot so readily attract incremental supplies. Thus, the
California refinery outages that occurred in the Spring of 1999, resulted in a
large price increase as market players scrambled for additional supply, none of
which was available close at hand, or cheaply. The California market's
isolation is more than just geographic: the State imposes unique and stringent
quality restrictions on both its gasoline and its off-highway diesel, making
what otherwise might be available to augment California product supplies
unsuitable.
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